专家预计2014年欧洲胰腺癌死亡率将有所上升

近日，权威癌症期刊Annals of Oncology刊登综合研究文章，研究显示，2014年起欧洲胰腺癌死亡率将有所上升，这也是研究预测中唯一一例死亡率将上升的癌症类型。 由意大利及瑞士研究人员组成的研究团队发现，2014年起，欧洲癌症死亡率总体将呈下降趋势，因性别及地域等原因，下降趋势略有不同。而胰腺癌则是在男性及女性群体中死亡率都呈上升趋势的癌症类型。

Death rates from pancreatic cancer predicted to rise in Europe in 2014

Rates for all other cancers, except female lung cancer, continue to fall

Pancreatic cancer is the only cancer for which deaths are predicted to increase in men and women rather than decrease in 2014 and beyond, according to a comprehensive study published in the leading cancer journal Annals of Oncology [1] today (Thursday).

The study by researchers in Italy and Switzerland shows that the proportion of deaths due to any sort of cancer is expected to fall overall in Europe in 2014. There are some variations between sexes and countries, however, pancreatic cancer is the only one where increased death rates are predicted for both men and women this year.

"Our predictions for 2014 confirm that pancreatic death rates are continuing to increase overall," said Professor Carlo La Vecchia (MD), professor at the Faculty of Medicine, University of Milan (Italy). "This year we predict that 41,300 men and 41,000 women will die from pancreatic cancer – an age standardised rate of 8.0 and 5.6 deaths respectively per 100,000 of the population. This represents a small but steady increase since the beginning of this century; between 2000-2004 death rates from the disease were 7.6 per 100,000 men and 5.0 per 100,000 women.

"The increased death rate is cause for concern, because the prognosis for this tumour is bleak, with less than five percent of pancreatic cancer patients surviving for five years after diagnosis. As so few patients survive, the increase in deaths is very closely related to the increase in incidence of this disease. This makes pancreatic cancer a priority for finding better ways to prevent and control it and better treatments."

Tobacco, obesity, diabetes, high alcohol intake and a family history of pancreatic cancer are all recognised risk factors for the disease. "To date, we have no promising treatment for pancreatic cancer. Prevention remains, therefore, the only possibility, with smoking cessation first, plus control of overweight and diabetes. However, tobacco accounts for less than a third of all cases of pancreatic cancer, and all the other causes together account for another ten percent. More work needs to be done to discover other possible causes," said Prof La Vecchia.

阅读完整新闻稿：http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-04/esfm-drf042214.php

阅读论文原文：http://annonc.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2014/04/22/annonc.mdu138.full